Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 290543
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1243 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.AVIATION...

WIND DIRECTION IS UNCERTAIN IN THE SHORT TERM WITH SOME VARIABILITY
SEEN IN OBSERVATIONS THIS EVENING. SURFACE WINDS REMAIN SOMEWHAT
CHAOTIC DUE TO EARLIER CONVECTION...BUT THE GENERAL TREND WILL BE
TOWARD EASTERLY FLOW AND EVENTUALLY SHIFTING TO
NORTHERLY/NORTHEASTERLY LATER IN THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD FORM
BY LATE AFTERNOON AND INCREASE DURING THE EVENING...ESPECIALLY
SOUTHWEST OF KDHT AND KAMA. KGUY HAS THE LOWEST CHANCE OF
EXPERIENCING A THUNDERSTORM TOMORROW EVENING.

BRB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 925 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015/

UPDATE...
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES THROUGH 9 PM WAS CANCELLED EARLY. SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
TONIGHT...HOWEVER NO ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

ALSO CANCELLED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES. WITH STRONGER FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW SHIFTING EAST OF THE
AREA...THE THREAT FOR ANY ORGANIZED HEAVY RAIN APPEARS TO HAVE ENDED
FOR THE NIGHT. THE LOW-LEVEL JET WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST
OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING EAST INTO THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS...KEEPING THE FOCUS FOR ANY ENHANCED ELEVATED
NOCTURNAL CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN EAST/NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA. WILL BE ISSUING A FORECAST UPDATE SOON TO DECREASE PRECIP
CHANCES FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.

KB

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/15




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