Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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594 ACUS11 KWNS 290133 SWOMCD SPC MCD 290133 TXZ000-290300- Mesoscale Discussion 1061 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0833 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Areas affected...The Edwards Plateau Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 290133Z - 290300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A few strong to severe thunderstorms will continue across the Edwards Plateau over the next 1-2 hours. DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms has developed near a localized surface convergence axis this evening. Easterly surface inflow persists across central and south Texas, which should continue to aid in updraft maintenance. The current mesoscale environment remains favorable for thunderstorm organization given 55-60 kt of deep layer shear via SJT VAD profile. The current air mass is relatively buoyant as well. However, further east CINH increases into the Hill Country. Confidence is low regarding the evolution of this cluster, but any of the stronger updrafts may produce hail near 1-1.75" in diameter through nightfall. ..Barnes/Smith.. 05/29/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 29970048 30060051 30480055 30769988 30769931 30499895 30269883 29439878 29209901 29389980 29700018 29970048