Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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747 ACUS11 KWNS 131859 SWOMCD SPC MCD 131859 FLZ000-GAZ000-132030- Mesoscale Discussion 0768 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Areas affected...Portions of the Florida panhandle and northern Florida Concerning...Tornado Watch 236... Valid 131859Z - 132030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 236 continues. SUMMARY...The threat of damaging winds near 60 to 70 mph and a couple of tornadoes will continue across northern Florida through this afternoon. DISCUSSION...A bowing line segment over northern Gulf County and and far southern Calhoun County previously showed signs of mesovortices trying to develop as it progressed east southeastward. The TLH VAD profile indicates low level shear upstream of this segment should continue to support the potential for such vortices. Recent radar trends, however, suggest the aforementioned feature is struggling to maintain itself considering upstream moist convection and decreasing surface based instability. Nonetheless, low level moisture advection along and south of the stationary boundary will keep LCLs relatively low. In addition, a few thunderstorms are beginning to develop along the stationary boundary within the eastern extreme of the watch where increased insolation is present. A couple of tornadoes remain possible within this environment, and wind gusts near 60 to 70 mph may accompany clusters or line segments. ..Barnes/Gleason.. 05/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE... LAT...LON 29738539 30098540 30268522 30648473 30708440 30618326 30438320 30278321 30148314 30028300 29878289 29678293 29548297 29368306 29308315 29398338 29738539