Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 230743

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
143 AM MDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 1237 PM MDT Sun Apr 22 2018

Across the Tri State region this afternoon...temperatures are
currently ranging from the upper 40s thru the mid 50s under a
meandering psunny/msunny sky. Winds are mainly light and variable

For the rest of the afternoon...variable sky cover is expected to
remain over the area w/ the region still under the influence of the
extreme western edge of the circulation of the exiting storm
system...even as surface high pressure builds over the area.

Going into tonight...expecting low level moisture over the region to
keep sky conditions at least partly cloudy. Surface ridge will
continue to push slow eastward going into Monday. By then decreasing
clouds over the region as surface ridge continues trek eastward...
but also aided by building mid level ridge cresting over the region
during the daytime hrs Monday...before shifting ESE going towards

The result of this will have dry conditions area-wide tonight into
Monday. For temps...the region will have overnight lows ranging in
the 30s...warmest east but all areas highly dependent on expected
cloud cover and will have to be monitored. Monday high temps with
high pressure in force will allow for upper 60s to around 70F.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 143 AM MDT Mon Apr 23 2018

In the start of the extended period the models are showing a tail
end of an upper level trough moving across the Central High Plains.
The models are also showing a surface front in relationship with
this trough.  At this time, no measurable precipitation is
anticipated as there appears to be little to no moisture associated
with this system.

After Thursday, an upper level ridge will build over the Rockies and
High Plains and produce dry conditions for the region through the
end of the week and well into the weekend.

Late Saturday night and Sunday the models are showing an upper level
shortwave moving into the region that could produce some rainshowers
towards the end of the period.

Afternoon high temperatures will start out reaching the lower 60s on
Thursday and climb into the middle 70s by the weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1101 PM MDT Sun Apr 22 2018

VFR conditions will prevail at MCK and GLD through the TAF period
with light winds turning south by Monday morning. South winds will
turn southeast after sunset with high clouds beginning to increase
through Monday evening.




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