Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 270819
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
319 AM CDT Fri Apr 27 2018

.Discussion...
Issued at 319 AM CDT FRI APR 27 2018

Quite weather looks to persist today, and through the weekend,
before our next chance for storms arrives early next work week.

Satellite imagery this morning shows a amplified pattern in place
across the Nation thanks to a western CONUS ridge. The resulting
down stream effect has been to keep our section of the Plains under
the influence of a northwest flow, though lack of local moisture has
limited the resulting potential for rain outside of this past
Wednesday`s showers. Additionally, while this flow regime typically
helps keep temperatures from climbing very high, currently the
longer days and sun angle are allowing highs to top out in a very
pleasant 60 to 70 degree range; and in general this will continue
through the weekend, though highs Saturday will be more in the 60s
thanks to a dry cold front passing through later today.

Next chance for storms looks to arrive in the Central Plains early
next work week as a large, slow moving trough, digs into the Desert
Southwest, kicking the prevailing flow to the southwest. Ejecting
energy from the trough will likely help with Gulf moisture return,
with storms looking likely in the Tuesday to Wednesday periods of
next week; possibly lingering through Thursday as the Desert
Southwest trough slowly fills and shifts east. Given the potential
moisture available and the general synoptic set up, thunderstorm
activity is looking likely; and given the time of year, severe
weather concerns will need to be considered. Otherwise, expect
temperatures to remain rather balmy, with highs nearing 80 degrees
over the first few days of next work week.


&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1140 PM CDT THU APR 26 2018

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours with west to
northwest winds over that period.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Cutter
Aviation...Cutter


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