Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 202358
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
658 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Beautiful day across the area with temps approaching 60 with just
some passing cirrus clouds. Winds were beginning to increase from
the east southeast and this trend will continue tonight as a
storm system approaches from the Rockies. Relative humidity values
have really dropped this afternoon and therefore an elevated fire
weather risk will continue until tonight when moisture
increases. However it should be a very nice evening for outdoor
activities across the area.

Upper level low approaches by early Saturday morning and may see
precip approach southeast Kansas and western missouri as early as
sunrise Saturday and then slowly move east. There will initially
be some dry air to work through therefore it may take some time
for the precip to reach the ground the further east you go.
Locations along and east of US Highway 65 may not see rainfall
until very late afternoon or evening Saturday. Clouds and winds
will keep temps up into the 40s across most of the area tonight
with perhaps a few upper 30s across the eastern ozarks. There will
also be a decent range in temps tomorrow from west to east with
middle 50s for highs out west to middle 60s across the eastern
ozarks.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Surface low will move along the Red River Valley and into the
Arklatex Saturday night with widespread wrap around rainfall
occuring especially across the southern half of the area. The low
will be slow to move therefore the rainfall will likely last
through most of Sunday and into sunday night until the low pulls
farther east. Instability looks very low therefore thunderstorms
are not expected at this time. Rainfall amounts through Sunday
night look to range from a quarter of an inch across Central
Missouri to three quarters of an inch across the
Joplin/Springfield/Salem areas with amounts around 1 inch across
the Branson and West Plains areas. This will be a prolonged light
to moderate rainfall event.

Another system looks to move in with a cold front Tuesday night
into Wednesday and then again possible Thursday night into Friday
with some slight rainfall chances. Moisture and instability looks
sparse. This will keep temperatures near to slightly below
average for the time of year.

No hazardous or impactful weather is expected over the following
seven days.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 646 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

With the exception of scattered to broken high cloud cover no
impacts to aviation are expected until after 21z Saturday. Showers
will begin to move across the region Saturday afternoon with VFR
ceilings expected into Saturday evening.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Hatch



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