Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 252317

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
617 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018

VFR with generally light SSW winds through Saturday. Pair of TS
currently near the CDS airspace should depart south within the
next hour and remain well east of LBB and PVW.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 250 PM CDT Fri May 25 2018/


A convective complex has moved from southern Kansas this morning to
southern Oklahoma and North Texas this afternoon. An outflow
boundary from this complex has pushed into the Rolling Plains over
the past few hours and thunderstorms are still expected to intitate
along this boundary this afternoon. Cloud coverage has started to
increase west of Lubbock, so pulled PoPs back west for this
afternoon. Hail will be possible with these storms, however, the
main threat will be high winds. SPC expanded the Slight Risk further
west with most of the Rolling Plains included in the Marginal Risk.

The upper level ridge will strengthen on Saturday leading to a warm
weekend with triple digit temperatures. Highs Saturday will be in
the upper 90s for the far northwestern counties and 100-103 for
everywhere else. Average highs for late May are generally in the mid
80s, so highs will be around 15 degrees above normal. The next upper
level low will move across the Great Basin this weekend with a
chance of showers and thunderstorms out ahead of it on Sunday. Most
of the activity will be limited to the northwestern Panhandle but
have included slight PoPs for our northwestern counties as well for
Sunday afternoon. Rain chances will continue on Memorial Day for the
northern counties as a shortwave moves out of the Rockies. Highs
will be slightly cooler, in the upper 90s on Monday and Tuesday as
the ridge flattens some. As ridging strengthens again mid week,
temperatures will rise again with highs up to 106 on Wednesday and
Thursday and the dry weather will continue.




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