Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 172346
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
546 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

...Updated for aviation discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Sky will be clear over the entire region tonight as surface high
pressure that is dominating our sensible weather continues to slide
southeast toward the Gulf of Mexico. This will result in light
southerly winds eventually turning westerly overnight. The airmass
will be modified even more by early Thursday morning, as lows start
out in the upper teens and 20s in most areas warming into the 50s
most areas, and even around 60 degrees near Liberal/Elkhart.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

A warming trend will persist through the end of the week. Quite a
way to end the week that started out with wind chill advisories, as
Friday and Saturday should bring low 70s across the far southwest
counties and highs in the 60s most elsewhere.  An uptick in high
clouds should develop Saturday in advance of a vigourous, well
advertised winter storm that will move out of the west on Sunday,
spreading snow mainly across Nebraska. The GFS and ECMWF have been
fairly persistent in placing and inch or so of snow across the
northern sections of our forecast area, on the southern periphery of
the main frontogentic snow band. Lots of model runs to go before a
we get a better handle on this storm system.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 542 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

A weak surface trough will persist in the lee of the Rockies
through the period. This will result in light south winds becoming
southwesterly and westerly on Thursday. VFR conditions will
persist.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  16  57  25  62 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  14  56  22  65 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  24  60  27  70 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  18  57  23  66 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  13  54  23  60 /   0   0   0   0
P28  16  54  23  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Finch



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