Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 261000
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
443 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
    AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
    ONSET...LATE MORNING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...LATE MORNING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE PUSHING SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.
OUTFLOW FROM ONGOING CONVECTION IN SOUTHERN KANSAS COULD PUSH
SOUTH AHEAD OF FRONT AND BECOME THE EFFECTIVE INITIATING BOUNDARY
WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

ALTHOUGH SHEAR WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK... INSTABILITY SHOULD
BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.

THE CONVECTIVE LINE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT WITH THE SEVERE/HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT ENDING. SPOTTER AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF THE
REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE WEEKEND.
INTERMITTENT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN NEXT WEEK AS NORTHWEST
UPPER FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$


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