Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 100718
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
118 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101145-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
118 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2017

...POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND HEAVY RAINFALL LATE
THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING THROUGH THE NIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED TO NEAR ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS...WITH GUSTS IN THE 40 TO 45 MPH
RANGE...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES BY TO OUR NORTH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE
FOUND ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE
STRONG WINDS AND AMBIENT DRY AND CURED VEGETATION FROM THE ONGOING
DROUGHT WILL YIELD A LIMITED TO NEAR ELEVATED RISK OF RAPID
FIRE SPREAD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT ICE STORM REMAINS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE AREA LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. AS IT LOOKS RIGHT
NOW...AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 STAND THE GREATEST RISK
OF SEEING SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS. IMPACTS TO THE POWER GRID
AND TO TRAVEL ARE POSSIBLE. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS...AS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS ON WHERE THE SURFACE FREEZING
LINE WILL BE WHEN THE LATE WEEK AND WEEKEND RAINS OCCUR.

IN ADDITION TO THE WINTER WEATHER CONCERNS...A WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4
INCH RAINFALL APPEARS LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. AMOUNTS
COULD BE CONSIDERABLY HEAVIER IN LOCALIZED AREAS...WITH SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS HAVING THE GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF
SEEING THE HEAVIEST RAINS. BOTH RIVER AND AREAL FLOODING ARE
POSSIBLE.

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE
SUBSIDING DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS. STRONG SOUTH WINDS
WILL DEVELOP AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. THE STRONG WINDS ON TUESDAY AND
ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY WILL AGAIN RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS
CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY.

THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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