000
FLUS44 KTSA 171804
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
104 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
103 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 WITH FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING. PLEASE REFER TO THE LAST FLOOD STATEMENT
/OKCFFATSA/ ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE PRECIPITATION
SHIFTS EAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 2 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS. THESE
AMOUNTS COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.

A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT INDICES TO EXCEED 100 DEGREES.
THERE WILL ALSO BE THREAT FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS STORMS THROUGH
MID WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
PERSONS FROM AROUND INTERSTATE 40 AND SOUTH SHOULD PREPARE FOR
POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING..AND MAIN-STEM RIVER FLOODING TODAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$