000
FLUS44 KTSA 131004
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
504 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014


...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS MORNING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
AN ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER DAY IS IN STORE FOR THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL.
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY. THERE WILL ALSO BE
THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES... WITH THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITIES ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHARPLY COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL INFILTRATE THE REGION... WITH A
RAW DAY EXPECTED ON MONDAY WITH SCATTERED LIGHT PRECIP POSSIBLE.
A FEW SNOWFLAKES WILL ALSO LIKELY BE SEEN... ESPECIALLY ACROSS NE
OK / NW AR. CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS MONDAY NIGHT WILL ALLOW
A LATE SEASON FREEZE TO OCCUR... WITH PORTIONS OF THE AREA POSSIBLY
SEEING A HARD FREEZE WITH TEMPS FALLING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$