000
FLUS44 KTSA 171753
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1253 PM CDT Sun Sep 17 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1253 PM CDT Sun Sep 17 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and extreme northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and extreme northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
A plume of deep subtropical moisture remains in place from
southwest Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas this afternoon.
Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop within the moist
axis today, with a few strong to severe storms possible through
the afternoon. The main hazards will be from strong or damaging
wind gusts and brief heavy downpours. A storm complex may develop
to the west this evening and impact parts of eastern Oklahoma late
tonight, however these storms will likely be weakening as they
approach the area.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY through THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY through SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
By Monday, the front will lift back north across Kansas, with a
low chance for storms early in the day across northeast Oklahoma.
Southwest flow aloft will support an unsettled weather pattern
for much of the week, but the highest chance for any rain and
storms will be Monday and Tuesday. By mid week, a building mid
level ridge will likely strengthen the cap, limiting thunderstorm
development on Wednesday and Thursday. Storm chances will return
by the end of the week as an upper level low in the western states
moves a bit closer to the area.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$