Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 161811
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
111 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-170615-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
111 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY
NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER. THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS...CLOUD COVER LOOKS TO BECOME MORE SCATTERED OVER PARTS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS WILL AID DAYTIME
HEATING...HELPING TO CREATE AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. THESE
CONDITIONS COULD ALLOW FOR A LIMITED POTENTIAL OF ANY THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG WINDS BEING
THE MAIN HAZARD. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THE DAYTIME HEATING OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA COULD ALSO CREATE
DANGEROUS HEAT CONDITIONS WITH HEAT INDICES OF AROUND 100
DEGREES POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER OSAGE AND
PAWNEE COUNTIES.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BUT IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
SUNDAY INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS THE WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY REMAINS OVER THE REGION. SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL HELP TO CREATE HEAT INDICES OF AROUND 100 TO
NEAR 105 DEGREES OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. DURING THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO BUILD BACK OVER THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHEAST WITH
WARMER TEMPERATURES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





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