Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
034
FXUS63 KDDC 241104
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
504 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

A shortwave trough will move out of the Rockies into western
Kansas by late Saturday afternoon. Areas of freezing drizzle look
to continue through mid morning for much of Kansas as isentropic
lift looks to be favorable ahead of a low pressure center in
eastern New Mexico. The conditions will quickly change as a cold
front will sweep the majority of the low clouds and moisture away
by around noon to the mid afternoon for the region.

High pressure moves in Saturday night keeping us mainly clear
until the next shortwave moves out of the Rockies bringing back
some cloud cover to the area. This will also start to push out the
colder air mass as 850 temps warm through Monday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 119 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

Next shortwave will move out of the Rockies into the central
plains from Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. It will mainly
bring cloud cover as there won`t be much moisture to work with.
This will also start to push out the colder air mass from the
region as the 850 temperatures start to warm from Sunday night
into Monday.

Monday should be warmer with zonal to slight southwest flow aloft
and surface winds should pick up in the afternoon with a low in
eastern Colorado deepening. Focus will then turn to a Pacific low
off the California coast which will could potentially be a weather
maker either for the central or southern plains by Thursday. Euro is
the slower and farther south track while the GFS is a little north
and moves the shortwave through quicker.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 447 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

IFR to LIFR conditions for the initial period of the TAF as fog
and freezing drizzle will continue for all TAF sites at least
through 15Z and may continue until 18Z for DDC and HYS. After 18Z
the winds should pick up and clear out the low level moisture as
visibilities will improve and cloud ceilings start to rise. Winds
will be turning to the northwest and be in the 20-30 kt range.
After 0Z the winds should die down and the skies turn clear. VFR
conditions will prevail from 21Z on.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  45  21  51  23 /  20   0   0   0
GCK  43  18  49  19 /  20   0   0   0
EHA  46  23  50  24 /  20   0   0   0
LBL  47  20  51  21 /  20   0   0   0
HYS  37  20  50  21 /  70   0   0   0
P28  47  24  54  23 /  40   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST /11 AM MST/ today for
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...Tatro



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.