Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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FXUS66 KHNX 162156
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford CA
256 PM PDT Thu Mar 16 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will continue to provide dry conditions and above
normal temperatures through Friday. A weak frontal system will
move into the region on Saturday and bring a chance for some light
precipitation, mainly around Yosemite. Cooler weather is expected
next week with more chances for precipitation.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Weakened high pressure and an onshore surface flow has resulted in
cooler conditions today, but still several degrees above mid March
normals. Dry conditions continue with just some thin cirrus clouds
passing through. Little change is expected on Friday.

A weak upper trough will move over northern California on Saturday
and bring a chance for some light precipitation, mainly around
Yosemite National Park. Models are showing a stronger east Pacific
trough dropping down off the coast early next week. Confidence is
increasing for precipitation Monday night and Tuesday as the cold
front moves inland. Showery conditions may continue on Wednesday,
then another trough is possible for the end of next week. Despite
this system still being a week away, the RMOP (relative measure of
predictability) is fairly good, and the modTrend shows a negative
linear regression for a deepening trough. So a pattern change back
to wet weather is looking more likely next week.

Temperatures are forecast to cool down to near normal next Tuesday
then a few degrees below normal the rest of the week. Winds will
become breezy this weekend with some moderate gusts in the Desert.
Stronger winds are possible by the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions can be expected across the Central CA Interior during
the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
None.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.php for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

public...DCH
avn/fw...DCH
synopsis...DCH

weather.gov/hanford


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