Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 030235
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
935 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
935 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THIS
EVENING IN RESPONSE TO A NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OVER THE REGION. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A LIMITED SEVERE THREAT OF STRONG WINDS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE NIGHT WITHIN ANY THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT...OTHERWISE HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS LOOK TO BE
THE MAIN HAZARDS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ON TOP OF LOCATIONS THAT HAVE RECEIVED RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO
CREATE POTENTIAL FLASH FLOOD CONDITIONS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL...GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RUNNING AROUND 2
INCHES. THE FLOODING THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN LOCATIONS WHERE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE OCCURRED.

A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY WHICH WILL
TEMPER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOME DURING THE DAY. ANOTHER UPPER
WAVE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
RESULTING IN DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


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