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000
FLUS44 KTSA 152206
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
506 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
505 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS...BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
AFTER SUNSET.  THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
REMAIN CAPABLE OF STRONG WINDS AND HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE.  THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET.
ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
AND ADDITIONAL ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH MID EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE ISOLATED
COVERAGE OF ANY SEVERE WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SUNDAY...WITH
A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY MOVING THROUGH PORTIONS OF
THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.  THE OVERNIGHT STORMS HAVE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME ORGANIZED AND POSE A MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER RISK...
PRIMARILY FROM DAMAGING WINDS.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE
ONGOING MONDAY MORNING...AND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL THEN BECOME
A FOCUS FOR DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
HOTTER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF
NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$