Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 210507
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1205 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1205 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE... REST OF TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA... FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
        ONSET....ONGOING.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL.
        ONSET...ONGOING.


FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
               ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
        RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
               ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN HIGHEST ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. STORMS IN THESE
AREAS WILL HAVE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO RISK. OTHER STORMS HAVE
REDEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND MAY PRODUCE
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH. THESE STORMS MAY
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OVERNIGHT...AND WITH A HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT IN PLACE WILL POSE A HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING
RISK ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA....NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...ACTIVATION OF
THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK MAY BE REQUIRED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT IS EXPECTED TO
MAINLY BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...AND
WILL AGAIN INCLUDE THE THREAT FOR FLOODING. AFTER A BRIEF BREAK ON
WEDNESDAY...LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$





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