Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 012013
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
313 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
313 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS .
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG AND NORTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A FEW SEVERE
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING...WITH DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS POSING THE MAIN THREAT.
GIVEN THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORMS...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY
RAINFALL MAY POSE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL...
         HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN FROM LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA. THIS FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE BY MID WEEK.
A STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TOWARD THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART
OF THE WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF HOT WEATHER TO THE REGION.
EXPECT HIGHS WELL INTO THE 90S...WITH A FEW SPOTS NEAR THE CENTURY
MARK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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