Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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FXUS63 KLSX 311836
AFDLSX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
136 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2014

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Tonight)
Issued at 110 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2014

Focus tonight continues to be temps.

No changes to ongoing headline. If going forecast verifies, this
will end the frost/freeze headlines for the year. Going forecast
remains reasonable given the latest guidance and have made only
minor changes. With winds remaining stronger across the ern
portions of the CWA, temps will be slow to drop. However, with
continued CAA and with winds diminishing quickly twd sunrise,
believe the going forecast is still on track. Only other change is
reducing the amount of frost mentioned in the forecast. With very
dry air being advected swd and at least some wind remaining thru
the night, believe frost will be more limited to sheltered areas.

Tilly

.LONG TERM:  (Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 254 AM CDT Fri Oct 31 2014

Temperatures expected to slowly moderate Saturday and Sunday as
ridge of high pressure progresses across and then east of the
area. Threat of rain increases early next week as another cold
front moves across the region. Temperatures to remain seasonal
though with highs in the 50s/60s and lows in the 30s/40s.

CVKING

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2014

Strong north winds gusting 25-30 kts will persist through the
afternoon and diminish around sunset. VFR flight conditions will
prevail through the period.

Specifics for KSTL:

Strong north winds gusting 26-30 kts will persist through the
afternoon and diminish around sunset. VFR flight conditions will
prevail through the period.

Glass

&&

.CLIMATE:
Issued at 236 PM CDT Tue Oct 28 2014

Halloween Top News of the Day Article on the NWS St. Louis Website
contains Halloween Climate Statistics for St. Louis, Columbia and
Quincy.  (http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lsx)


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS:
Saint Louis     46  28  47  32 /   5   0   0   0
Quincy          42  23  45  29 /   5   0   0   0
Columbia        45  23  46  33 /   0   0   0   0
Jefferson City  45  23  47  32 /   0   0   0   0
Salem           48  29  45  27 /  10   0   0   0
Farmington      46  27  45  26 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...FREEZE WARNING from 1 AM to 10 AM CDT Saturday FOR Audrain MO-
     Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Franklin MO-
     Gasconade MO-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln
     MO-Madison MO-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-Montgomery MO-
     Osage MO-Pike MO-Ralls MO-Reynolds MO-Shelby MO-St. Charles
     MO-St. Francois MO-St. Louis City MO-St. Louis MO-Ste.
     Genevieve MO-Warren MO-Washington MO.

IL...FREEZE WARNING from 1 AM to 10 AM CDT Saturday FOR Adams IL-Bond
     IL-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Clinton IL-Fayette IL-Greene IL-
     Jersey IL-Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-
     Montgomery IL-Pike IL-Randolph IL-St. Clair IL-Washington
     IL.

&&

$$

WFO LSX






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