Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Salt Lake City, UT

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FXUS65 KSLC 130416

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
916 PM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

.SYNOPSIS...A low pressure system moving east across northern
Mexico will maintain shower activity over southeast Utah through
early Monday. High pressure aloft to the west of Utah will bring
a dry, mild and stable air mass to the entire area Tuesday through
Thursday. Precipitation will return to the area late in the week.


.DISCUSSION...The upper low tracking east across northwest Mexico
continues to pump moisture north across Arizona and into extreme
southern Utah this evening. Anticipating a gradual retreat of this
moisture back to the south beginning late tonight or early Monday.
The exceptionally dry air already in place over northern/central
Utah will eventually replace the moisture over the south by late

The strengthening upper ridge positioned to the west of Utah will
maintain dry and mild conditions across the area through at least
Thursday. Temperature trends should be on the uptick with cool
night and above normal days through the end of the week.

A new series of weather disturbances will return to northern Utah
toward Thursday night/Friday, followed by more widespread
precipitation from subsequent disturbances heading into the


.HYDROLOGY...The Bear River below Cutler dam through the town of
Corinne Utah has maintained a steady upward trend today through
early this evening. The current flows are running a little below
forecast, so will hold off on reaching flood stage at Corinne until
late tonight or early Monday. Peak flow may also end up a bit
below the forecast peak, though still anticipate that the river
will remain above flood stage well into Wednesday.


.AVIATION...The very dry and stable air mass across northern Utah
will produce VFR conditions under clear skies throughout the TAF
period. Light southeast winds will develop at the terminal between
04Z and 05Z.





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