Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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908
FLUS44 KTSA 261632
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1132 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1132 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...PRIMARILY WEST OF A LINE FROM TULSA TO FORT SMITH.
ONSET...PRIMARILY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AROUND NOON...INCREASING AFTER SUNSET.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AROUND
NOON AND WILL HAVE A RISK OF HAIL.  THE STRONGER STORMS
WILL FORM ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON...AND SPREAD EASTWARD DURING THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.  STRONG INSTABILITY AND INCREASING
WIND SHEAR WILL BE PRESENT AHEAD OF THE LATE DAY STORMS...
WHICH WILL SUPPORT A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER RISK
ACROSS THE AREA.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE TORNADIC
POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS DEFINED AS STORMS
CONGEAL...HOWEVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND ALSO
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS MAY
EVENTUALLY BE THE FOCUS AS WINDS ALOFT INCREASE OVERNIGHT.
SOME TORNADIC POTENTIAL IS LIKELY TO PERSIST THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED
AND LIKELY TO BE REQUIRED INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY
RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING
FURTHER EAST EARLY IN THE DAY.  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES RETURN THURSDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG WITH AREAS OF FLOODING GIVEN THE EXPECTED RAINFALL.  AN
UNSETTLED PATTERN REMAINS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH CONTINUED
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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