434
FXUS64 KEWX 271824 CCA
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
124 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.Resended for corrected formatting

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Normal to slightly normal climate high temperatures expected for
the weekend into next week.

- Low chances for isolated showers and storms are forecasted for the
coastal plains area this afternoon and Saturday. Increasing moisture
associated to a tropical disturbance in the southwest part of the
Gulf waters arrives Sunday and chances of rain spread to the I-35
corridor.

- Light concentrations of Saharan dust arrives late Saturday into
Sunday and increasing into early to mid next week, bringing hazy
conditions to the Coastal Plains, I-35 corridor, and Hill Country.

-Low chances for showers and storms persist across the coastal plains
 next week with high temperatures slightly higher than normal and
 back down to normal for Thursday before going back up Friday into
 next weekend.

&&


.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Partly cloudy skies can be detected by visible satellite photos across
the eastern two-thirds of South Central Texas early this afternoon.
Area Doppler radars are showing light shower activity across the
southern part of Lavaca County and a few thunderstorms to the south
over Corpus Christi CWA. This activity could push to the north with
the aid of the seabreeze during the next several hours to affect
a greater portion of the coastal plains area but staying to the south
of the I-35 corridor. Hires models suggest very isolated shower
activity just to the south of the I-35 corridor between 3 pm and 6
pm. Therefore, expect dry conditions for most of the period with low
probability of seeing a passing shower or storm for a short
period of time. Otherwise, highs are expected to reach the lower
to mid 90s over most places with upper 90s into 100 along the Rio
Grande.

Mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are forecasted for tonight into
Saturday with overnight lows in the 70s. Clouds are likely to burn
off by mid morning with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies expected
for the afternoon. Drier airmass should be in place and therefore,
expect dry conditions for most places with a slight chance of a
shower or two or a storm over Lavaca County or nearby locations.

Saturday evening starts with a dry airmass, however, as the night
progresses, increased moisture arrives across the coastal plains as a
tropical disturbance over the southwest Gulf waters moves to the
northwest over the Bay of Campeche.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Chances of showers and thunderstorms are forecasted for areas along
and south of the I-35 corridor on Sunday as increased tropical
moisture arrives across the middle Texas coast and moves inland. By
Sunday night, moisture pushes to the north and a dry and dusty
airmass spreads across most of the local area associated with a
Saharan Dust episode. Can`t rule out some hazy skies as early
Saturday night into Sunday, but the better dust signal looks to be
for Sunday into Monday and continues into mid week. Low chances for
showers and storms are forecasted for early next week mainly across
the coastal plains area and then over the Rio Grande on Wednesday
and again over most areas on Thursday. A new wave of Saharan dust
could arrive across the local area next Friday (fourth of July) into
the weekend with a warming trend in store with highs reaching the 100
mark for several places from next Sunday and beyond.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Outside of any isolated SHRA/TSRA activity this afternoon, VFR
conditions through the afternoon and evening with a FEW-SCT cu
field. Isolated SHRA/TSRA activity through sunset will be confined
mainly east of the I-35 and I-37 corridors. BKN stratus is forecast
to re-develop overnight along the I-35 corridor, expanding slightly
east and west toward daybreak Saturday. This stratus will produce
mainly MVFR ceilings and scatter out after 15Z Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              75  97  75  97 /   0   0   0  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  74  95  74  95 /   0   0   0  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     73  95  73  94 /   0   0   0  10
Burnet Muni Airport            73  95  73  95 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           77 100  78 100 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        74  95  74  96 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             73  94  73  94 /   0   0   0  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        73  95  73  94 /   0   0   0  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   73  94  74  92 /   0  10   0  30
San Antonio Intl Airport       75  94  75  92 /   0   0   0  10
Stinson Muni Airport           75  95  75  93 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...76
Long-Term...17
Aviation...76