Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 252306 AAA
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
606 PM CDT Wed May 25 2022

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 127 PM CDT Wed May 25 2022

A mild and pleasant afternoon in the mid 70s to mid 80s will cool
quickly into the 70s this evening with low dew points and decreasing
winds. By 10 pm, most of the forecast area, save for mainly the Rio
Grande Plains, will fall into the 60s with perhaps the final morning
we see lows in the 50s until the fall season. Clear skies and light
and variable winds late tonight will add to the efficient cooling.
With the dry air in place for Thursday, temps under sunny skies will
jump back about 10 degrees warmer over those today. Though south
winds return by midday Thursday, the return of humid conditions will
initially be slow due to daytime mixing and only pick up marginally
Thursday night due to wind decoupling. So while we probably won`t
see any more 50s temps for Thursday night, a pleasant morning low
should be in the 60s for nearly all areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 127 PM CDT Wed May 25 2022

Temperatures and humidity will be on a steady rise through the
weekend, as highs climb back into the 90s for most on Friday along
with abundant sunshine. The overall synoptic pattern will result in
hot and dry weather through Memorial Day Weekend with mornings in the
upper 60s to lower and middle 70s, and afternoons in the mid to upper
90s for most, with lower 100s for the Rio Grande Plains and Winter
Garden region. Heat indices shouldn`t be much of a problem,
generally staying under 100, as mixing each afternoon should widen
the temperatures/dewpoint spread substantially.

By Monday, a large trough begins to carve out space over the western
CONUS, resulting in some southwest flow aloft, but we might actually
be stuck in a bit of a no man`s land with very little in the way of
mid-level flow to steer anything of substance in our direction.
Nevertheless, some weak east/southeasterly onshore flow Monday-
Wednesday may result in some isolated sea breeze showers or
thunderstorms. This activity would mostly be confined to the Coastal
Plains, but could make its way further inland if any storms can ride
some outflow boundary or collide with others. Temperatures should
come down just a touch after the weekend as slightly increased cloud
cover and added surface moisture will result in lower maximum
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 559 PM CDT Wed May 25 2022

VFR flight conditions prevail through the TAF period under mainly
cloud free skies. The northerly flow from this afternoon becomes
generally light and variable this evening through tonight. Expect
light to moderate southerly winds to establish into and through
Thursday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              61  91  65  92 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  57  91  63  92 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     58  92  63  93 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            58  91  64  93 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           63  94  70  98 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        58  92  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             59  91  64  94 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        58  92  62  93 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   59  92  64  93 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       61  90  65  92 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           61  94  67  96 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...Oaks
Long-Term...Morris
Aviation...Brady


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