000
FXUS63 KGRB 080827
AFDGRB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
227 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2014

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR ROUTINE MORNING FORECAST ISSUANCE

.SHORT TERM...TODAY...TONIGHT...AND SUNDAY
ISSUED AT 226 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2014

OVERALL QUIET WEATHER REGIME THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS
OVER THE REGION. THE MAIN FCST ISSUE IS CLOUD TRENDS.

BREAKS IN THE STATUS CLOUD COVER WERE DEVELOPING EARLY THIS
MORNING...BUT MORE CLOUDS WERE NOTED NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR
DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD. A FEW FLURRIES OR SNOW SHOWERS WERE
BEING PICKED UP BY NORTHERN RADARS AND OBSERVATIONS. SOME LIGHT
RETURNS NOTED WITH THE LOCAL RADAR BUT NO REPORTS OF FLURRIES OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE AT THIS TIME. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS INDICATE A
SATURATED LAYER AROUND 2000 FEET LINGERS TODAY. ANTICIPATE A
PERIOD OF PATCHY MORNING CLOUDS THEN A DECREASE IN CLOUDS AS THE
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE DROPS OVER.

AS HAS BEEN THE CASE LATELY...WITH THE DEEP SNOW PACK TEMPS WILL
HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO FALL TONIGHT AFTER DAY OF CAA. WILL TEND
TO LEAN TOWARD THE COLDER SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR TONIGHT BUT WILL
NEED TO BE CAREFUL OF THE RETURN FLOW WAA CLOUDS LATE TONIGHT.

CLOUD TRENDS AND AFFECTS ON TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR SUNDAY...BUT
EXPECT TEMPS TO BE 10 DEGREES WARMER THAN SATURDAY LEVELS FOR THE
START OF A BRIEF WARMING TREND.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
ISSUED AT 226 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2014

FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WITH RESPECT TO PRECIPITATION OVER THE
NEXT WEEK...WITH PRECIPITATION TOTALS FOR THE PERIOD RUNNING BELOW
NORMAL. FIRST CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE
FAR NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS
THE AREA LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH NOT IN THE FORECAST
MONDAY NIGHT...THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW WITH THE PASSAGE OF
THIS FRONT. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF TUESDAY JUST IN CASE SOME OF
THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS MINNESOTA REACHES OUR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES
ON TUESDAY MARCH 22ND.

A WARM FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY COULD BRING A SMALL
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. CHANCES SO MSALL ON THIS HAPPENING...WILL NOT INCLUDE
IN THE FORECAST OR THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

HIGHS ON MONDAY COULD WARM WELL INTO THE 40S. IT WILL TURN COLDER
TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S TO AROUND 40. IT WILL BE COLD
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOWS SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS...FOLLOWED BY
DECENT WARM UP THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S TO AND 40S.

A.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE
ISSUED AT 1042 PM CST FRI MAR 7 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE FCST TO RETURN TO THE REGION FROM NW TO SE
LATE TNGT/SAT MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE STATE. CLEARING
A BIT SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED. FLURRIES SEEN FAR NORTH
ATTM...BUT EXPECT WILL STAY MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF RHI.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM.....TDH
LONG TERM......ECKBERG
AVIATION.......TE