Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Salt Lake City, UT

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000
FXUS65 KSLC 121541
AFDSLC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
941 AM MDT FRI SEP 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE ALOFT WILL BRING A WARMING TREND TO THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY WINDS NEAR CANYON MOUTHS ALONG THE WASATCH
FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS MORNING. WARMING ALOFT WILL
BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA
WHILE SOUTHERN PORTION WILL SEE LITTLE CHANGE. LOTS OF SUNSHINE
THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO AVERAGE OR ABOVE.
SOME ISOLATED HIGH BASED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS
EACH AFTERNOON BEGINNING SATURDAY...BUT BASICALLY A VERY DRY
PERIOD THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

A LITTLE MORE AGREEMENT IN THE OVERNIGHT MODELS ON TRACK OF
TROPICAL STORM ODILE NEXT WEEK AS EC MOVED TOWARDS GFS SOLUTION.
IT ALL COMES DOWN TO THE TIMING AND AMPLITUDE OF THE TROUGH THAT
APPROACHES THE WEST COAST MID WEEK. THE HIGHER THE AMPLITUDE THE
MORE SOUTHERLY THE FLOW AND THE BETTER MOISTURE SURGE INTO UTAH.
RIGHT NOW GFS HAS THE MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH...BUT 00Z EC DOES
BRING THE MOISTURE NORTHWARD MUCH MORE THAN YESTERDAYS 12Z EC.

NO CHANGES IN CURRENT FORECAST...WILL UPDATE THE HWO LATER THIS
MORNING WHEN CANYON WINDS QUIT.

&&

.AVIATION...THE SLC TERMINAL WILL SEE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE
DAY UNDER CLEAR SKIES. LIGHT AND VARIABLE OR LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS
SHOULD BECOME PREVAILING NORTHWESTERLY GREATER THAN 7 KTS BETWEEN
17Z AND 19Z.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...DUNN
AVIATION...WILENSKY

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOR FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS ABOUT THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/SALTLAKECITY/GENERAL/AFD_FAQS.PHP (ALL LOWER CASE)



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