082
FXUS64 KEWX 140453
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1153 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

A few isolated showers will remain possible through the afternoon
and early evening. Since they will mainly be diurnally driven,
expect any showers or storms that form to quickly dissipate after
sunset. Temperatures overnight will stay on the muggy side as
easterly to southeasterly surface flow continues.

Subtropical ridging will build in over South Central Texas on
Friday, effectively cutting off any rain chances for the region.
Temperatures will warm slightly, into the mid to upper 90s for all
locations outside of the Rio Grande Plains on Friday. After a few
morning clouds, we should see mainly sunny skies throughout the day.
Not much else can really be said about the short term period as heat
and humidity dominate the forecast through the remainder of the
period.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

The subtropical ridge will keep dry weather in place at the start of
the long term. High temperatures Saturday and Sunday will mostly be
in the 90s with triple digits confined to the Rio Grande region and
southern I-35 Corridor. Afternoon dewpoint temperatures will remain
mainly in the upper 60s to lower 70s keeping heat indices below
advisory criteria. Sunday afternoon and Monday a midlevel trough will
approach the TX coast from the Gulf and could produce some showers
and thunderstorms over the Coastal Plains each afternoon. Chances
will be better on Monday as the trough gets closer. Models are
showing possible tropical development in the southern Gulf of Mexico
into the middle on next week and increasing chances for convection
into our CWA. Most of the activity will be diurnally driven with
showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and early evening each
day Tuesday through Thursday. Chances will increase and push farther
inland each day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1152 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

There is a slight chance for MVFR ceilings around 11-15Z at SAT,
otherwise VFR conditions continue for the period. Wind will be
mainly southeasterly below 10 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              96  76  96  74 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  97  74  96  73 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     97  75  98  73 /  20   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            93  73  94  72 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport          105  82 104  81 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        93  73  95  72 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             97  75  97  74 /  20   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        94  73  95  72 /  10   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   93  74  94  73 /  10   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       97  76  97  75 /  20   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           98  76  99  75 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...MMM
Long-Term...05
Aviation...27