Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 220824

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
224 AM MDT Thu Mar 22 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 130 PM MDT Wed Mar 21 2018

Tonight-Thursday night...the forecast area will be under the
influence of an upper level ridge with only some mid and/or high
clouds spilling over its axis and across the area. Low temperatures
tonight in the upper 20s to mid 30s. On Thursday 850mb temperatures
warm about 7F to 10F supporting highs in the low to mid 70s. Clouds
increase Thursday night with lows in the low to mid 40s.

Friday...west to northwest winds gradually increase from west to
east during the morning ahead of a cold front that moves through
during the early to mid afternoon. Peak winds should reach the 30 to
35 mph range during the day. Showers and a few thunderstorms are
possible generally along and north of the interstate during the
afternoon and evening hours with dry weather expected after
midnight. A little less certain on high temperature forecast given
timing issues with the frontal passage. Right now have readings
ranging from the low 70s north to low 80s far south. Low
temperatures range from the low/mid 30s in far eastern Colorado to
the upper 30s to low 40s east of the CO/KS border.

Saturday...dry weather expected. The upper level ridge axis
redevelops with some high clouds from time to time. Afternoon
temperatures cool back into the low 60s to around 70. Southeast
winds increase into the 20 mph range with higher gusts in the
afternoon generally along and west of the CO/KS border.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 224 AM MDT Thu Mar 22 2018

Sunday and Monday: Troughing prevails across the western states on
Sunday and Monday with a nearly cut off H5 low influencing the
Plains region both days. Southwest flow aloft will continue while
surface winds shift in response to the development of a surface low
that will bring rain and thunderstorms to much of the CWA with a
chance of snow in the western half of the area. There will be around
500 J/Kg of MUCAPE available Monday afternoon/evening along a theta-
e boundary, giving us a focus for thunderstorm development. This
should bring another round of much needed precipitation to many

Tuesday and Wednesday: Cooler air moves in late Monday night with
light snow persisting into Tuesday morning, mainly for the western
half of the CWA. Rain is expected to continue through much of the
day on Tuesday, tapering off from south to north as the system moves
off to the east and northeast Tuesday night. Look for high
temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s on Tuesday with slightly
warmer temperatures on Wednesday. Another shortwave is expected to
develop late Wednesday, possibly giving us another chance of light


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1115 PM MDT Wed Mar 21 2018

VFR expected at both KGLD and KMCK as an upper level ridge
results in partly cloudy skies and light winds.


KS...Fire Weather Watch Friday afternoon for KSZ027-041-042.

CO...Fire Weather Watch Friday afternoon for COZ253-254.



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