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000
FXUS62 KFFC 040824
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
324 AM EST Fri Dec 4 2020

.SHORT TERM /Today through Saturday/...
A strong upper closed low will rotate from the lower MS River Valley
into the southern Appalachians during the short term. Meanwhile an
elongated surface short wave will cross the southeast states today.
Showers will be increasing over north and central GA today
associated with this wave. Models agree that this system will be
progressive...with rain diminishing from the west starting around
00z. Not anticipating widespread high QPF values from this system
with QPF totals ranging between 0.5 to 1.0 inch...highest mainly
over north GA. The atmosphere is generally stable ahead of the short
wave...with continued easterly winds. However...there could be some
instability developing mainly this afternoon as the warm front tries
to move north. A mention of thunder has been included for the
southern half of the forecast area during that time. As the system
moves out and northwest flow takes over...a dip in temperatures
with lows in 30s to around 40 are forecast overnight Friday into
Saturday.

41

.LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Thursday/...
The main concern for the long term will be Sunday through Monday as
the models are struggling handling moisture return and an upper
level trough forecast to move across the Ern U.S. All in all,
rain chances look to be on the low end and any precip amounts only
light.

One thing we will need to monitor is the potential for a rain snow
mix and a brief period of potential all snow over the NE mountains
Sunday night into Monday. At this time, potential snow accumulations
are expected to be light as well, maybe around 1/4 inch or less.

Once this upper system passes, the rest of the long term, Tuesday
through Thursday, is expected to be dry.

For the most part, forecast temperatures are expected to run within
around 5 degrees of normal.

BDL

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z Update...
Ceilings lowering to MVFR around sunrise...then IFR as showers
increase across the taf sites today. Visibility 2 to 5sm possible
in showers. Light winds this morning...becoming east to southeast
8 to 10kts today. After the the front passes...conditions should
begin to rapidly improve with 12-15Kt winds gusting to 20kts out
of the southwest around 00z Saturday.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Medium confidence on timing of precip and cigs.
Medium to High confidence on all other elements

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          59  37  56  32 /  90  70   0   0
Atlanta         57  37  54  32 /  90  50   0   0
Blairsville     50  33  48  27 /  90  70   0   0
Cartersville    54  35  54  29 /  90  50   0   0
Columbus        65  38  59  36 /  90  30   0   0
Gainesville     52  37  54  32 /  90  70   0   0
Macon           67  38  60  33 /  80  50   0   0
Rome            54  35  56  30 /  90  30   0   0
Peachtree City  60  35  56  31 /  90  50   0   0
Vidalia         71  42  60  38 /  50  60   5   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....BDL
AVIATION...41