000
FXUS63 KUNR 052131
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
231 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 224 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

WATER VAPOR SHOWS LARGE RIDGE OVER THE FAR WRN CONUS...WITH DRY SHORT
WAVE EMBEDDED IN NW FLOW CROSSING SD. AT THE SFC...TROF CONTINUES
TO CROSS THE WRN DAKOTAS WITH TEMPS WARMING WELL THROUGH THE 30S
INTO THE 40S ACRS THE CWFA.

UPPER RIDGE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STATIONARY ACROSS THE FAR WRN CONUS
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH DRY NW FLOW OVER OUR CWFA. TEMPS WILL WARM
EVEN FURTHER ON FRIDAY WITH 850MB TEMPS ABOUT 5C DEGREES OR SO
WARMER THAN TODAY. WILL ONCE AGAIN SEE BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR
PARTS OF THE SD PLAINS...ESPECIALLY FAR NWRN SD.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 224 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

MAINLY DRY AND MILD NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
REGION THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS SLOWLY SLIDES EAST INTO THE ROCKIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 40S AND 50S OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH 50S AND
60S LIKELY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS FURTHER EAST. HAVE
ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS LATE SATURDAY ACROSS FAR
NORTHWEST SD AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE PASSES ACROSS ND.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING
ISSUED AT 224 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JOHNSON
LONG TERM...26
AVIATION...26