Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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FXUS63 KUNR 150344

Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
844 PM MST Tue Nov 14 2017

Issued at 828 PM MST Tue Nov 14 2017

Upper trof crossing the forecast area this evening with some very
light rain showers moving across southern SD. Showers should
weaken and exit the area shortly after midnight and skies will
clear by morning. Cold front has pushed through the area and
gusty winds behind it have subsided for most of the area and will
within the next couple of hours across south central SD.


.DISCUSSION...Wednesday Through Tuesday
Issued at 129 PM MST Tue Nov 14 2017

Cooler conditions then expected on Wednesday. SW flow aloft
returns on Thursday with upper trof over the Pac NW. Thickness
ridge will peak over the cwfa ahead of an approaching cold front,
with dry and gusty SW winds pushing temps well into the 60s many
locations with low rh and elevated fire wx concerns.

Cold front pushes through late Thursday with some light rain/snow
showers and breezy/cooler conditions for Friday. Upper ridge then
rebuilds and dominates our wx through the weekend into early next
week with above average temps and dry conditions.


.AVIATION...For the 06Z TAFS Through 06Z Wednesday Evening
Issued At 828 PM MST Tue Nov 14 2017

Gusty winds have subsided for most of the area and will shortly
after midnight across south central SD. Isolated rain showers are
also possible over south central SD for the next few hours. Skies
will clear and winds will switch to the south Wednesday morning.


Issued at 129 PM MST Tue Nov 14 2017

A few light showers possible through this evening but very low
chance of wetting rains. It will be a bit cooler on Wednesday,
followed by much warmer conditions on Thursday with gusty
southwest winds and low relative humidity leading to elevated fire
weather conditions. Another cold front will move through Thursday
night into Friday bringing cooler weather for the weekend along
with some showers Thursday night into Friday.




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