Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
000
FXUS63 KMPX 060512 AAB
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1112 PM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 230 PM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

The short term concern is cloud/flurry trend into the evening and
then timing of the next short wave trough dropping south over the
area Wednesday.

Clouds and flurries remain over the eastern cwa this afternoon as
the cold trough exits to the east. This should be the trend into
the evening. May See some residual flurries/snow showers over
northwest Wisconsin as HIRES solutions continue to show flow off
Lake Superior into Wednesday. Will develop some lower end PoPs to
the northeast and spread those west and south into Wednesday as
the next trough moves south. BUFKIT overview profiles showing
abundant lower level moisture with moisture in the DGZ as this
moves through. Believe we will see some snow shower/flurry
activity and we could see a dusting with this. Winds will diminish
some this evening before picking up again later tonight into
Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 230 PM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

The longer term trends remain on the cool side with the
north/northwest flow continuing with the eastern CONUS trough in
control. Periodic cold fronts will drop south in the flow pattern
every 24 hours or so with small end chances for some light
snow/flurries. This looks best later Thursday night into Friday
and again later Sunday. We could see brief warming ahead of this
next cold front with readings warming through the 30s possible.
After that, we should trend colder again into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1112 PM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

MVFR cigs are in place across northeast MN and northwest WI late
this evening. These will drop south overnight, impacting RNH and
EAU late, and area wide as borderline VFR/MVFR levels on
Wednesday. Scattered snow showers or flurries will develop as the
boundary layer destabilizes during the afternoon and an upper
level disturbance passes overhead.

KMSP...Gusty west/northwest winds are expected to continue through
the period. MVFR cigs are likely to arrive by Wednesday morning
with snow showers during the mid afternoon to early evening.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
Thu...MVFR possible late with Chc -SN. Wind NW 5-10 kts.
Fri...MVFR possible early with Slgt Chc -SN. Wind NW 5-10 kts.
Sat...MVFR cigs possible. Wind NW 5-10 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DWE
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...BORGHOFF



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.