Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FXUS63 KMKX 190843
AFDMKX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
343 AM CDT TUE AUG 19 2014

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...THIS SECTION WILL BE ADDED SHORTLY.

.WEDNESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...HIGH

SOUTHERN WISCONSIN WILL BE IN BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS DURING
THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED. THERE SHOULD BE
SOME SUNSHINE...WITH HIGHS NEAR TO A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM

MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A LONG TERM WET PATTERN FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG WARM AIR AND THETA-E ADVECTION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY SHOULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND STORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING/STRENGTH OF FORCING...SO KEPT LIKELY
POPS GOING.

WENT WITH MAINLY CHANCE POPS FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
MODELS GENERALLY ARE BUILDING UPPER RIDGING INTO THE AREA FOR THIS
TIME FRAME...WITH A SERIES OF WAVES RIDING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THIS SETUP WOULD RESULT IN SHOWER/STORM
CHANCES IN AREA THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY
BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY GIVEN THE PLACEMENT OF THE
RIDGE.

&&

.AVIATION/12Z TAFS/...THIS SECTION WILL BE ADDED SHORTLY.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

$$

TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION...GEHRING
WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...DDV


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