Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FXUS63 KMKX 061557 AAA
AFDMKX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1057 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.UPDATE...

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WITH ALL THE WARM AIR OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST WILL BE LEANING INTO WISCONSIN TODAY. THE ONGOING 850MB WARM
AIR ADVECTION AND FRONTOGENESIS IS LEADING TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH
A FEW SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL WI TODAY. THE WAA WILL
SLOWLY EXIT SOUTHEAST WI THIS AFTERNOON. THE DEEPER MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE IS CONFINED TO SOUTH CENTRAL WI AND THE STEERING FLOW IS
DUE NORTH... SO DO NOT EXPECT THESE LIGHT SHOWERS TO MAKE IT INTO
SOUTHEAST WI TODAY.

A LAKE BREEZE WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CUT OFF THE
WARMING NEAR THE LAKESHORE. IT WILL NOT MAKE IT VERY FAR INLAND DUE
TO GENERAL SOUTHWEST WINDS INLAND. MAX TEMPERATURES LOOK ON TRACK
TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S INLAND AND UPPER 70S NEAR THE
LAKESHORE.

STILL EXPECTING A BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SLIDE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHERN WI LATE TONIGHT INTO MID SATURDAY MORNING
ALONG A COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SHORT WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY AND
LIMITED MOISTURE SO CHANCE/SCATTERED WORDING SEEMS REASONABLE AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION/18Z TAFS/...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD... ALTHOUGH BRIEF
LOWER CATEGORIES WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS AT KMKE TODAY SHOULD SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST BY
MID-DAY DUE TO A LAKE BREEZE...THOUGH SPEEDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
BELOW 10KTS.  A COLD FRONT DROPS IN LATE TONIGHT...POSSIBLY REACHING
KMSN/KMKE/KUES BETWEEN ABOUT 09-12Z SATURDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM
WEST TO NORTH NORTHEAST IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. THERE IS A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. NOTHING
SEVERE. CIGS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.

&&

.MARINE...

WINDS AND WAVES EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT. CONDITIONS APPROACH OR REACH SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS AFTER SUNRISE ON SATURDAY BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD
FRONT...WITH WINDS AND WAVES SLOWLY LOWERING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE...MRC/REM
TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...DAVIS
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DDV


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