Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FXUS65 KBYZ 141505
AFDBYZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
905 AM MDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.UPDATE...

A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY. SOME CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR
FAR EASTERN COUNTIES...AS WELL AS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS AREAS. OTHERWISE...EXPECT MORE SUNSHINE THAN YESTERDAY
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE
OF DEGREES WARMER WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER 60S. FORECAST LOOKS
TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE. HOOLEY

&&

.SHORT TERM...VALID FOR TDY AND MON...

A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION INTO
MONDAY WITH GRADUAL BUILDING HEIGHTS AS RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST
SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST. MID LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE OFFERING UP SOME
MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS FOR TODAY WITH FULL SUNSHINE EXPECTED
BY MONDAY. A WARMING TREND WITH STRONGEST WARM AIR ADVECTION
BY MONDAY. TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TODAY WILL WARM WELL INTO THE
70S MONDAY...BACK TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMS. FRIEDERS

.LONG TERM...VALID FOR TUE...WED...THU...FRI...SAT...

OVERALL NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST. THE THEME IN
THE EXTENDED REMAINS FOR A WARMING TREND THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH
DRY CONDITIONS AS A RIDGE BUILDS INTO NORTHERN ROCKIES. MODELS
STILL BRINGING A PACIFIC TROUGH INTO THE PICTURE BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...WITH TIMING/STRENGTH DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE GFS/EC
SOLUTIONS. TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM HURRICANE ODILE GETS PICKED UP
WITH THIS APPROACHING TROUGH...INCREASED PW VALUES OVER THE
FORECAST AREA BY LATE WEEK. DESPITE THE DIFFERENCES IN THE
MODELS...CERTAINLY PLENTY TO WARRANT SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO POPS FOR
THIS PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO COOL BACK TOWARD SEASONAL
VALUES BY WEEK/S END...WITH THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

CHURCH

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT. CHURCH

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    TDY MON     TUE     WED     THU     FRI     SAT
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 063 043/074 049/081 052/085 055/082 052/072 047/071
    0/U 00/U    00/U    00/U    02/T    33/T    31/U
LVM 070 035/079 042/080 047/085 052/080 047/070 041/072
    0/U 00/U    00/U    01/U    12/T    33/T    31/B
HDN 067 040/076 046/081 051/085 053/084 051/073 047/073
    0/U 00/U    00/U    00/U    02/T    33/T    21/U
MLS 062 040/073 047/080 050/085 054/085 054/073 049/074
    0/B 00/U    00/U    00/U    02/T    33/T    21/B
4BQ 063 041/072 046/080 049/086 054/086 054/073 048/072
    0/B 00/U    00/U    00/U    02/T    33/T    21/B
BHK 059 037/068 042/075 046/081 050/083 052/072 047/072
    0/B 00/U    00/U    00/U    02/T    33/T    21/B
SHR 064 037/074 044/080 046/084 051/083 051/071 044/070
    0/U 00/U    00/U    01/U    12/T    33/T    31/B

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...NONE.
WY...NONE.

&&

$$
WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS



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