Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Green Bay, WI

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FXUS63 KGRB 101847
AFDGRB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
147 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Forecast discussion for routine afternoon forecast issuance

.SHORT TERM...Tonight and Friday
Issued at 145 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Convection trends through the evening hours the primary issue.
The upper low continues to drop southeastward over the state this
afternoon while a cold front extended from around central
Wisconsin to southeast Iowa. Convection early this afternoon were
located with the upper low over the northwest half of Wisconsin
and along the cold front over Iowa. Best shear values and
instability were located over southern Wisconsin and just reaching
the far southern portion of the forecast area. As a result,
timing suggest we still have a short window of strong to severe
storms over east central Wisconsin this afternoon and early
evening until the front goes through. Showers and isolated storms
will continue to linger this evening as the upper low tracks
through.

Plenty of clouds and isolated showers expected for much of Friday
with the cyclonic flow. high pressure building into the state
from the west late in the day will begin to decrease clouds from
west to east.

.LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Thursday
Issued at 145 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

A high pressure ridge begins building in over the northern
Midwest late in the weekend into next week. Some showers are
possible off and on through next week, but little or no
thunderstorm activity is expected. Temperatures will be at or
slightly above normal in general.
&&

.AVIATION...for 18Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Scattered showers and isolated storms are expected to pass over
much of the forecast area this afternoon and early evening before
tapering off this evening. MVFR cigs over northern Wisconsin will
gradually expand southeastward and lower to a mix IFR/MVFR cigs
overnight into Friday morning with little improvement through late
Friday morning.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Beach Hazards Statement until 10 PM CDT this evening for WIZ022-
040-050.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM.....TDH
LONG TERM......ML
AVIATION.......TDH



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