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FNUS73 KMPX 091001
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Regal Flats WMA Rx...Minnesota DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
501 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Northeast winds 10-15 mph are expected today with
RH dropping into the 30s this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........52 at ignition...Max 65.
RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 12 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 10 to 13
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /19300 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /105100 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 16 to 20 mph shifting to the north
                    around 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  56  59  61  64  65  65  65  65  65  63  60
RH..............74  64  60  53  45  40  38  38  38  38  41  47
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..12  10  12  12  13  12  12  12  10  9   8   6
20 FT wind gust.18  17  18  18  18  18  17  17  16  15  14  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.7 2.6 4.2 5.8 6.5 6.9 7.4 7.5 7.4 5.0 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  20  18  17  17  16  16  16  12  7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (103300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to good (50300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night decreasing to poor (2500 knot-ft) early
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 16 mph shifting to the south 9 to
                    10 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 68.
RH..................Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 8 to 17 mph late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 17 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (71400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (142900
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 16 mph increasing to northwest 23 to
                    30 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Borghoff
Requested by...Area Wildlife Supervisor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413570.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cory.netland@state.mn.us