Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 231318
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAKER S LAKE...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
818 AM CDT SAT APR 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY LATE THIS
MORNING AND INCREASE IN SPEED.  THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL COME THIS
AFTERNOON.  FOR IGNITION TIME...STILL EXPECT WINDS SE AND CLOSE TO
10 MPH.  AS TEMPERATURES QUICKLY RISE THROUGH THE MORNING...DEW POINTS
WILL ALSO BE ON THE RISE THANKS TO THE SOUTHERLY FLOW...WHICH WILL KEEP
THE RH FROM GETTING TOO LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3100-52500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (61600-94600) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 28 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY COVER.......MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                                            SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                                            RW
TSTM COV........                                            ISO
TEMP............46  50  56  59  63  66  70  71  73  73  73  71
RH..............81  77  69  67  61  55  49  47  44  44  44  49
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   8   10  10  11  12  12  12  11  10
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  15  15  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (55000-94700) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO GOOD (8300-35200) IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3900-47800) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (57700-101600) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (38100)
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DEVINNY
REQUESTED BY...TIM KOPPELMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160423.BAKER.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY



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