Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 160334
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1030 PM EST Thu Feb 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Sea breeze collision occurred a little earlier this evening from
Pierson to Apopka...Disney World and Celebration. The only result
was a band of stratocumulus clouds as airmass is too dry to generate
any precip. The Atlc high pressure ridge axis will settle across
Lake Okeechobee and northern Bahamas tonight and Friday resulting in
a south to southwest wind flow. The increasing SW flow across the
north will advect stratus and fog inland from the Gulf which should
reach Lake county late tonight. Elsewhere, light winds and mostly
clear skies will produce a chance for fog but density and coverage
will be less than this morning. Lows in the lower 60s, except upper
50s across the far north and the south interior, which is several
degrees above normal.

Fog will dissipate quickly after sunrise with max temps Friday
reaching mid 80s over some interior locations, even near 80 along
the Volusia coast as offshore flow looks to dominate. A sea breeze
will develop south of the Cape during the afternoon which
should hold max temps there in the upper 70s with lower 80s mainland.

&&

.AVIATION...
Mainly VFR thru 06Z then IFR Stratus will advect in from the west
and affect LEE overnight with IFR/LIFR CIGs/VSBYs. Elsewhere, there
will be a chance for fog, including southern terminals (VRB/FPR/SUA)
in proximity to the ridge axis. The fog should not be as dense or
widespread as last night/this morning and the fog should dissipate
shortly after sunrise. On Fri...S/SW winds 5-10 knots turning SE
10 knots aft 17Z MLB southward.

&&

.MARINE...
No significant changes to current coastal waters forecast. High
pressure ridge axis will settle across the southern waters tonight
and Friday. Resulting light southerly flow across the south 5-10
knots and southwest flow around 10 knots across central and northern
waters. A 10 knots SE sea breeze will develop near the coast Friday
afternoon. Primary contribution to wave height will be a 4 foot East
swell.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  62  79  60  80 /   0   0  10  10
MCO  63  84  61  84 /   0   0  10   0
MLB  63  80  64  81 /   0   0  10   0
VRB  64  80  63  82 /   0   0  10   0
LEE  62  83  61  82 /   0   0  10  10
SFB  63  83  61  83 /   0   0  10  10
ORL  63  83  62  84 /   0   0  10   0
FPR  63  80  63  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

$$

Kelly/Weitlich



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