Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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124
FXUS65 KBYZ 190910
AFDBYZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT
310 AM MDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.SHORT TERM...valid for Tdy and Wed...

The short term will be dominated by the central US ridge. While
this means that in general the next couple of day will dry for
southern Montana, there is some monsoonal moisture that will be
moving in to the Beartooth/Absaroka mountains. There will be just
enough shortwave energy moving over the mountains that this will
give a slight chance of some afternoon showers and isolated
thunderstorms. This moisture is not overly abundant, so expecting
little to no rainfall out of these storms.

Temperatures will be in the upper 90s to just over 100 degrees
from Rosebud County east. While the MET guidance came in with 106
for Miles City and 100 for Billings, this is the upper end of the
solution envelope. Have generally kept temperatures similar to
the previous forecast. Reimer

.LONG TERM...valid for Thu...Fri...Sat...Sun...Mon...

The extended remains mostly unchanged. The ridge will dominate
most of the the forecast. However, Friday afternoon a shortwave
will flatten the ridge some and bring a cold front across the
area. This will give a slight chance for some showers. Also with
the front there will be an increase in the winds. This will bring
some increased fire weather concerns. Early next week there could
be another chance for rain for the southeast. Reimer

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions through the period. Isolated thunderstorms possible
near and over the mountains after 18z today. RMS/Reimer

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Tdy Wed     Thu     Fri     Sat     Sun     Mon
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 099 064/097 062/094 065/094 059/087 059/091 061/092
    1/U 11/U    11/U    11/B    11/U    11/U    11/U
LVM 096 053/092 051/091 054/089 049/084 048/088 050/089
    1/U 22/T    11/U    12/T    11/U    11/U    11/U
HDN 100 060/098 059/095 060/096 055/087 056/092 057/094
    0/U 11/U    11/U    12/T    21/U    11/U    11/U
MLS 102 066/100 065/095 067/097 060/086 060/091 062/094
    0/G 10/U    11/U    12/T    21/U    11/U    11/U
4BQ 102 063/101 063/097 065/098 059/087 059/091 061/094
    0/G 10/G    11/U    12/T    21/U    11/U    11/U
BHK 100 063/099 062/093 063/095 057/083 056/087 057/090
    0/U 10/U    10/U    12/T    21/B    11/U    11/U
SHR 099 058/099 058/095 060/095 054/086 053/090 054/091
    1/U 11/U    11/U    11/B    11/U    11/U    11/U

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
WY...None.

&&

$$
weather.gov/billings



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