


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
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337 FXUS64 KHGX 100520 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1220 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 117 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 - Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms can be expected each day through the upcoming weekend. - Isolated strong thunderstorms will result in gusty winds and periods of heavy rainfall and could lead to ponding of water along roadways, as well as minor flooding over poor drainage and low lying areas. - Daily high temperatures will continue to be at or just below seasonal temperatures through the weekend. Regardless, it is summer in Southeast TX and technically still hot. Make sure to take breaks if spending time or working outside and stay hydrated. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1056 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 No significant changes were made to the forecast for this issuance. We will likely continue to see daily chances for showers and thunderstorms during the next several days. This is mainly in response to Southeast TX being wedged between a high pressure systems situated over SW CONUS and another high pressure system situated over the eastern Gulf, allowing for weaknesses to pass overhead from time to time. The weather pattern will generally be a "rinse and repeat" with passing showers possible over the waters and coastal locations during the early to mid morning hours, followed by stronger and more extensive development of showers and thunderstorms further inland during the mid morning to late afternoon hours as diurnal heating and instability increases. The PWs on Thursday are expected to stay in the 1.8" to 2.0" range, which could result in pocket of moderate to heavy rain with rainfall rates of 2-3" per hour in some locations. This could lead to ponding of water along roadways, as well as minor flooding in areas of poor drainage. The heavy downpours may occur during the afternoon commute, thus, make sure to check the radar and traffic conditions before you depart to your destination. Remember, never cross flooded roads. Moisture is expected decrease on Friday, as drier air moves into the region and could lead to lower PoPs. Regardless, we can at least expect isolated showers and thunderstorms during the daytime hours. For the upcoming weekend, our rain chances look to increase again as an upper level trough moves across the Southern Plains and PWs rise back to 1.8" to 2.0" which may result in scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms. A similar weather pattern can be expected on Sunday. Please be mindful of how the weekend weather can affect your travel. Also, if you or your family are planning to spend time or work outdoors or visit our local beaches, keep in mind that lightning can strike many miles away from the storm. When thunder roars, head indoors. One good thing about the rain and cloud coverage, is that it`s keeping our high temperatures at or just below seasonal norms. Thus, we are expected our highs to remain mostly in the lower 90s through the weekend. From Monday into Tuesday, however, we may see a gradual decrease in shower and thunderstorm activity as another pocket of drier air passes through. This could lead to higher temperatures, which some spots possibly seeing highs in the upper 90s. As for our low temperatures, expect them to be between the mid to upper 70s inland and the upper 70s to lower 80s for the coastal locations. Cotto && .AVIATION... (00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 613 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 Some lingering isolated showers and storms remain near the coast, impacting LBX and GLS, that will last through the next couple of hours before dissipating. Generally VFR conditions will prevail through the night, but can`t out rule some short periods of MVFR conditions with CIGs down to 2000ft, but VFR conditions will quickly return by Thursday morning. Additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible Thursday afternoon, but coverage should be less than today so have opted for PROB30s for the TS. Light southerly winds will prevail through the night with winds increasing to around 6-10kt during the day on Thursday. Fowler && .MARINE... Issued at 1056 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 Light to occasionally moderate onshore winds and 2 to 4 foot seas will prevail for the next several days. Periods of showers and thunderstorms are anticipated each day. We can expect to see showers and thunderstorms developing along the Gulf waters and coastal locations during the morning to early afternoon hours, followed by less activity during the mid afternoon to evening hours as storms move further inland. However, a strong storm or two cannot be discarded during that timeframe, in particular over the bays. Stronger storms could lead to strong gusty winds and outflow boundaries and could elevate seas at times. Along the Gulf facing beaches, persistent onshore flow will result in a moderate risk of rip currents. High risk of rip currents could occur at times. Please follow the beach flag conditions, and always swim near a lifeguard. Cotto && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 74 92 75 92 / 20 20 10 10 Houston (IAH) 76 93 77 92 / 20 40 10 30 Galveston (GLS) 82 91 83 91 / 20 40 10 30 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Cotto AVIATION...Fowler MARINE...Cotto