Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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012
FXUS64 KHGX 070543
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1143 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016


.AVIATION...
VFR. CLEAR SKIES OVER THE AREA WITH CIRRUS SLOWLY ENCROACHING
FROM THE WEST. A FEW MODELS HINT AT SOME SHALLOW FOG TOWARD
MORNING BUT GIVEN THE DRY AIR AND DEEP MIXING TODAY DO NOT EXPECT
THE FOG TO DEVELOP. WINDS BECOME SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST MID MORNING
AND REMAIN SO UNTIL A COLD FRONT ARRIVES AROUND CLL NEAR 06Z/MON
AND 10Z/MON AT IAH. EXPECT GUSTY DRY WINDS 10-20KTS
MONDAY...STRONGER FROM CLL-LBX. 45

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 942 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

DISCUSSION...
PCPN HAS FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE CWA AS THE FRONT MOVES FURTHER
OFFSHORE. NO CHANGES WITH THE FCST PLANNED AT THIS TIME. CURRENT
TRENDS LOOK ON TRACK. 41

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 547 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

AVIATION...
VFR WITH DISSIPATING 3500-8000FT SCT/BKN DECK IN WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE. NORTH WINDS SHOULD RELAX QUICKLY THIS EVENING AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES IN OVER THE AREA. AROUND SUNRISE IT SHOULD BE
OVER THE MAJOR HUBS WITH CALM/LIGHT WINDS THEN WINDS BECOME MORE
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AS THE HIGH SLIDES AWAY TO THE EAST. ON
SUNDAY A LARGE PLUME OF HIGH LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE SHOULD
OVERSPREAD THE AREA BRINGING CIRRUS TO THE REGION AS LARGE UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES DEEPENS. NEXT COLD FRONT NEARING CLL
AROUND 09Z MONDAY AND IAH 12Z MONDAY...SHOULD BE DRY VFR FRONTAL
PASSAGE WITH ONLY HIGH CLOUDS AND NORTHWEST WINDS.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      36  63  39  57  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              39  64  42  60  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            46  60  47  59  43 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 3 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...41
AVIATION/MARINE...45



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