Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FXUS65 KBYZ 140858
AFDBYZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
258 AM MDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.SHORT TERM...VALID FOR TDY AND MON...

A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION INTO
MONDAY WITH GRADUAL BUILDING HEIGHTS AS RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST
SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST. MID LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE OFFERING UP SOME
MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS FOR TODAY WITH FULL SUNSHINE EXPECTED
BY MONDAY. A WARMING TREND WITH STRONGEST WARM AIR ADVECTION
BY MONDAY. TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TODAY WILL WARM WELL INTO THE
70S MONDAY...BACK TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMS. FRIEDERS

.LONG TERM...VALID FOR TUE...WED...THU...FRI...SAT...

OVERALL NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST. THE THEME IN
THE EXTENDED REMAINS FOR A WARMING TREND THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH
DRY CONDITIONS AS A RIDGE BUILDS INTO NORTHERN ROCKIES. MODELS
STILL BRINGING A PACIFIC TROUGH INTO THE PICTURE BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...WITH TIMING/STRENGTH DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE GFS/EC
SOLUTIONS. TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM HURRICANE ODILE GETS PICKED UP
WITH THIS APPROACHING TROUGH...INCREASED PW VALUES OVER THE
FORECAST AREA BY LATE WEEK. DESPITE THE DIFFERENCES IN THE
MODELS...CERTAINLY PLENTY TO WARRANT SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO POPS FOR
THIS PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO COOL BACK TOWARD SEASONAL
VALUES BY WEEK/S END...WITH THE TROUGH PASSAGE.

CHURCH

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND
TONIGHT. CHURCH

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    TDY MON     TUE     WED     THU     FRI     SAT
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 063 043/074 049/081 052/085 055/082 052/073 047/073
    0/U 00/U    00/U    00/U    01/U    33/T    31/U
LVM 065 035/075 042/080 047/085 052/080 047/070 041/071
    0/U 00/U    00/U    01/U    12/T    33/T    31/U
HDN 065 040/074 046/081 051/085 053/084 051/074 047/074
    0/U 00/U    00/U    00/U    01/U    22/T    21/U
MLS 064 040/073 047/080 050/085 054/085 054/075 049/075
    0/B 00/U    00/U    00/U    01/U    33/T    21/U
4BQ 063 041/072 046/080 049/086 054/086 054/075 048/073
    0/B 00/U    00/U    00/U    01/U    22/T    21/U
BHK 060 037/069 042/075 046/081 050/083 052/073 047/071
    0/B 00/U    00/U    00/U    01/U    33/T    21/U
SHR 065 037/074 044/080 046/084 051/083 051/073 044/071
    0/U 00/U    00/U    01/U    11/B    33/T    31/B

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...NONE.
WY...NONE.

&&

$$
WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS


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