Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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FXUS65 KBYZ 192053
AFDBYZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT
253 PM MDT FRI AUG 19 2016

.SHORT TERM...valid for Sat and Sun...

Northwest flow aloft pushing drier air into the region but cold
temperatures under a sharp upper level trough combining with
moist ground to produce small isolated showers. Expect this
activity to dissipate after sunset and a dry weekend is in store
for the region. Temperatures on Saturday will rebound as leeside
troughing promotes better mixing but some residual moisture may
cut a degree or two off of maxes due to evaporative cooling.

By Sunday an upper level ridge moves into the area and begins
breaking down with stronger leeside troughing. This combination
brings even warmer temperatures about 5 degrees above normal. The
downslope is maintained Sunday night for low temperatures back to
near 60. borsum

.LONG TERM...valid for Mon...Tue...Wed...Thu...Fri...


Models have slowed the timing on the front moving through on
Monday a little with the latest runs. The timing is now more of
an overnight passage. That being said, models are still not
showing much in the line of moisture with this system, so have
maintained PoPs pretty much as is. Through the remainder of the
week, the area will remain in northwest flow. Towards the end of
the week, a weak low pressure system drops into the Pacific
Northwest, which while not moving into Montana, some energy from
this system will move through the flow giving a bit better chance
at some rainfall.

Tempeatures through most of the period will be more more seasonal
and even a little below normal. Monday will be warmer ahead of
the front moving through during the night. With downsloping,
temperatures climb into the 90s. Through the rest of the week
expect temperatures with the northwest flow to be mainly in the
70s. Reimer
&&

.AVIATION...


Scattered afternoon light showers will diminish this evening.
Expect VFR conditions to continue, though localized MVFR
conditions possible with a stronger shower. Reimer
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Sat     Sun     Mon     Tue     Wed     Thu     Fri
-----------------------------------------------------------
BIL 048/079 054/089 059/092 056/080 053/074 052/073 052/077
    00/U    01/U    11/U    11/B    11/B    11/B    22/W
LVM 041/081 048/091 051/090 048/080 046/074 044/074 044/077
    10/U    01/U    12/T    11/B    11/B    12/T    22/T
HDN 045/081 051/090 057/094 056/082 052/077 050/075 051/080
    10/U    01/U    11/U    11/B    11/B    11/B    22/W
MLS 049/079 053/090 058/094 058/081 054/075 051/075 052/079
    10/U    01/U    10/U    11/B    11/B    12/T    22/W
4BQ 045/076 051/088 058/094 057/080 053/075 051/073 050/078
    20/U    01/U    10/U    11/B    11/B    11/B    11/B
BHK 046/074 049/085 054/093 055/079 050/073 047/072 050/076
    10/B    01/U    10/U    11/B    11/B    11/B    11/B
SHR 042/078 048/088 054/091 053/079 049/075 047/075 047/076
    20/U    01/U    11/U    11/B    11/B    12/T    22/T

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
WY...None.

&&

$$
weather.gov/billings



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