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000
FXUS65 KCYS 052100
AFDCYS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
200 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 200 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

RATHER QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE CWA THROUGH SATURDAY WITH
JUST SOME WIND TO LIKELY CONTEND WITH OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MAINLY
AROUND THE ARLINGTON AREA. WINDS THERE TODAY HAVE HELD UP WITH
GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH WITH A DECENT LOW-LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT.
GRADIENT SHOULD EASE SOME INTO THIS EVENING THEN STEP BACK UP FOR
A TIME LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY BEFORE SLACKENING AGAIN.
SOME BLOWING SNOW IN THAT AREA AS WELL BUT HAS NOT BEEN TOO MUCH
OF A PROBLEM.

NW FLOW ALOFT WILL HOLD ACROSS THE CWA THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE
HEIGHTS RISE SLOWLY. THIS WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS GOING WITH
PERIODS OF INCREASED MAINLY HIGH CLOUD COVER AS MINOR SURGES OF
HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE MOVE ACROSS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONAL
WITH WINDS NOT PROBLEMATIC. A MINOR COOL FRONT LOOKS TO PASS
ACROSS THE AREA SAT NIGHT BUT NOT BRINGING MUCH OF A CHANGE.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE STARTING OFF SUNDAY. FLOW WILL BE WEAK THOUGH WITH
JETSTREAM WELL NORTH AND EAST OVER THE DAKOTAS. 700MB TEMPERATURES
AROUND -6 TO -8C SHOULD YIELD HIGHS IN THE 40S WEST AND LOW 50S
EAST.

WARMUP BEGINS IN EARNEST MONDAY AS WESTERLY WINDS RETURN AND BEGIN
TO INCREASE. BY MONDAY AFTERNOON...GFS HAS 700MB WINDS 25 TO 30KTS
AND 700MB TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO -2 TO -3C. COULD BE SEEING LOW
60S IN THE PANHANDLE MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH MID 40S WEST.

700MB TEMPERATURES ABOVE ZERO C FOR TUESDAY AND PEAKS OUT AT +3 TO
+4C WEDNESDAY. AT THE SAME TIME WE ARE LOOKING AT WESTERLY
DOWNSLOPING WINDS OF 35-40KTS WHICH SHOULD REALLY SHOOT UP
AFTERNOON HIGHS. COULD BE APPROACHING 70 AT SIDNEY BY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...THOUGH WEDNESDAY MAY BE A BIT COOLER WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS. EXPECTING DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE LONG TERM.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1006 AM MST THU MAR 5 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH GUSTY WEST WINDS THROUGH 00Z. MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 200 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015

WARMING TEMPS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH DRY CONDITIONS. SEE NO CONCERNS WITH CONDITIONS REMAINING
NON-CRITICAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RE
LONG TERM...GCC
AVIATION...GCC
FIRE WEATHER...RE