Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 261942

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
142 PM MDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 245 AM MDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Today, decreased pops for most of the area as guidance has
trended downward from previous runs. That said, there is still
very slight chances for our eastern counties. Expecting, if any
thing, trace rainfall from sprinkles. Winds are still on track to
be strong following the passage of the front. Winds will range
from 30-35 mph with gusts 40-45 mph. Highs today will only reach
the low to mid 60s across the tri-state area.

Tonight, winds will calm and clouds will clear out. Expecting lows
to be in the mid 30s. Afterward, expecting a warming trend
throughout the rest of the week.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 142 PM MDT Thu Apr 26 2018

At the start of the extended period an upper level ridge builds over
the Rockies and High Plains with a surface high pressure being
located over the Northern High Plains.  This will produce mostly dry
conditions and highs reaching near 80 on Saturday.

This ridge system will migrate towards the east and becomes located
over the Mississippi River Valley by Monday morning.  Behind this
ridge system, follows an upper level low that is moving onshore from
the Eastern Pacific and deepens while it takes hold of the Western

This low system will be the major influence over the region through
the rest of the period. As a series of surface lows and fronts will
develop off the Front Range and move into the High plains. These
surface features will produce spans of possible severe weather
throughout the rest of the week, mainly during midweek.

High temperature will reach into the lower 80s on Sunday and Monday
before the first cold front moves through the region and drops the
highs into the upper 60s to lower 70s on Tuesday followed by a
further reduction to the Upper 50s by next Thursday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1140 AM MDT Thu Apr 26 2018

VFR at both TAF sites through the period. SCT-BKN high clouds
becoming SKC before 00Z.  Winds are main story with north winds
gusting to 40 kts at start of TAF period, gradually diminishing
21-23Z to gusts 30 kts, then light W-NW overnight and Fri morning
as surface high moves into the region.




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