063
FXUS64 KLZK 091128
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
628 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 224 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

No major changes to the current forecast as models are generally
in good agreement. After a fairly rainy Tuesday around the Natural
State, rain coverage looks to be quite a bit less across the
state on Wednesday...with the best chances forecast to be across
the south. Do think the NBM is somewhat overdoing the PoPs and do
prefer more of the HRRR solution for the day. A few isolated
showers and thunderstorms can not be ruled out.

Across the CONUS, aloft a ridge of high pressure will be centered
across the SW with a Trough located just to the north of
Arkansas. This trough is what is going to suppress thunderstorms
development on Wednesday.

As we head into the weekend, a cold front will approach the state
from the NW and bring an increase of rain chances to the
state...especially across NW portions of the state. Ahead of the
front, temperatures will warm by a degree or two each day as to
round out the work week.

For the start of next week, aloft the flow will become nearly
zonal to the north of the state with weak high pressure building
over the area. Expect temperatures to climb into the upper 90`s
by the middle of next week with heat index values approaching 110.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

Very little change to the previous TAF forecast. Seeing some
patchy fog, and patchy low clouds during the early morning
hours...but these are expected to burn off later today with VFR
ceilings and light winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     90  71  91  73 /  30  10  20  10
Camden AR         89  71  92  72 /  70  20  40  10
Harrison AR       88  69  90  72 /  10   0  10   0
Hot Springs AR    91  73  93  73 /  50  10  30  10
Little Rock   AR  90  75  92  75 /  50  10  30  10
Monticello AR     89  73  91  75 /  70  20  50  10
Mount Ida AR      90  72  92  73 /  50  10  30   0
Mountain Home AR  88  69  91  72 /  10   0  10   0
Newport AR        90  73  92  75 /  30  10  20  10
Pine Bluff AR     89  73  91  74 /  60  10  40  10
Russellville AR   91  73  93  74 /  30  10  20   0
Searcy AR         90  72  92  73 /  30  10  20  10
Stuttgart AR      89  75  91  75 /  50  10  30  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...65
LONG TERM....65
AVIATION...65