242
FXUS64 KEWX 101805
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
105 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Relatively dry conditions are expected to continue going into Friday.
There is a very low (<15%) chance for showers and thunderstorms
Friday afternoon across eastern portions of the CWA. If there is any
development it will likely remain isolated and sub-severe.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Increasing moisture advection will increase rain chances this
weekend across the CWA. Rain chances are expected to increase to
20-40% Saturday and Sunday afternoons. The best rain chances look to
remain just to the northwest of the CWA this weekend, where better
forcing will likely be present. The Weather Prediction Center has a
Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall for northern portions of Edwards,
Kerr, Gillespie, Llano, and Burnet counties Saturday, and a Marginal
Risk of Excessive Rainfall extending to San Antonio and much of the
I-35 corridor. There is still a lot of uncertainty on where the
higher rainfall amounts may occur, with much of the guidance
currently keeping the highest amounts just north of the CWA. However,
given the antecedent soil moisture, this situation will need to be
monitored for the potential for flash flooding. Some isolated rain
chances could continue through the middle of next week, primarily
across western portions of the CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

VFR conditions are expected to continue through the afternoon, with
MVFR ceilings likely developing overnight. Gusty southerly winds are
expected to continue through the afternoon, with wind gusts
diminishing this evening lighter winds continuing overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              75  94  76  92 /   0  10   0  40
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  74  94  75  92 /   0  10   0  40
New Braunfels Muni Airport     74  94  75  93 /   0  10   0  30
Burnet Muni Airport            73  91  74  90 /   0   0   0  30
Del Rio Intl Airport           76  97  77  96 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        74  92  75  91 /   0  10   0  30
Hondo Muni Airport             74  92  75  92 /   0  10   0  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        74  94  75  92 /   0  10   0  40
La Grange - Fayette Regional   75  92  76  91 /   0  10  10  50
San Antonio Intl Airport       75  93  77  92 /   0  10   0  20
Stinson Muni Airport           75  95  77  95 /   0  10   0  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...60
Long-Term...60
Aviation...60