Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FXUS63 KMKX 110936
AFDMKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
336 AM CST Wed Jan 11 2017

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...This section will be added shortly.


.THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...Forecast Confidence...Medium to High

The shortwave will move through Thursday morning, with the snow
winding down by late morning. Looks like around a trace to half an
inch of additional snowfall in the morning...the highest amounts
in the east.

Strong high pressure will move in Thursday night, moving overhead
on Friday. Another wave will be headed this way on Friday though,
with light snow expected to arrive Friday evening per the GFS and
ECMWF. Less confidence in this snowfall, as the NAM and Canadian
hardly have a wave and do not produce precip over southern
Wisconsin.

Should be dry then Saturday behind the wave.

Below normal temps Thursday and Friday will warm back to around
normal by Saturday.

.SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...Forecast Confidence...Medium

Models are in good agreement that low pressure will move through
the region early next week. Models do ok with the general track of
the low as well, showing a warm layer aloft could bring a mix with
freezing rain and sleet for a time before precip transitions to
all rain.

The main issue with early next week is model timing. The ECMWF and
GFS are in decent agreement bringing the bulk of the precip Monday
afternoon into Tuesday. The Canadian is much quicker though,
bringing the system through roughly 18 hours earlier. Trended
temps and pops toward ECMWF and GFS for now.

&&

.AVIATION/12Z TAFS/ AND MARINE...These sections will be added
shortly.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...None.
&&

$$

TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...Gehring
Thursday THROUGH Tuesday...DDV



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