Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 242146

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
246 PM MST Fri Mar 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Generally dry conditions with milder temperatures and
gusty winds at times into next week. We`ll see another cool-down
with a few showers possible around the middle of next week.


.DISCUSSION...Sunny skies with temperatures rebounding this
afternoon as a shortwave ridge phases across the area in a busy
but slightly less amplified pattern. A weather system passing
mainly north of our area Saturday will bring gusty winds during
afternoon hours along with briefly reversing our warming trend

Another system Tuesday with a third Friday, all typical spring
systems bringing mainly winds and moderation to our temperatures
as precip generally misses to our north.


.AVIATION...Valid through 26/00Z.
Mostly clear. Some gusty winds in eastern areas this afternoon,
followed by normal wind trends through early Saturday. Surface
winds then increasing during the day with breezy to windy
conditions out of the west developing by early afternoon.

Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Generally dry conditions into at least early next
week. A series of storms will bring windy conditions at times over
the next 7 days. Strongest winds are expected to be Saturday,
Tuesday and perhaps next Friday. For tomorrow, critical fire
weather conditions are possible mainly east and southeast of
Tucson, with low RH values and increasing winds out of the west.
While minimum RH values will easily bottom out below 15 percent
Saturday afternoon, winds will be borderline. Brief Red Flag
conditions are possible in a few locations (mainly around southern
portions of Fire Weather Zones 151 and 152, including southern
portions of Cochise county), but are not expected to be sustained
or widespread enough to warrant a warning at this time.






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