Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KTWC 300927
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
227 AM MST TUE SEP 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO THIS WEEKEND. A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE STORM TRACK WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA...WITH A
DRY WESTERLY FLOW BRINGING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND NORMAL DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES. LATEST MODELS CONTINUED TO SHOW A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT DEVELOPING OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THURSDAY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN MORE CLEAR SKIES AND SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. A
TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WAS ALSO PROGGED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PRODUCING LOCALLY GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS.

&&

AVIATION...VALID THRU 01/12Z.
EXPECT CLEAR SKIES INTO WEDNESDAY. SURFACE WIND EAST OF KTUS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BE WLY/NWLY 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 KTS.
OTHERWISE...SURFACE WIND WILL BE MAINLY LESS THAN 10 KTS THRU
TONIGHT. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO THIS WEEKEND.
DAYTIME MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER THIS WEEK AS DRIER
AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION...ALTHOUGH GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES ARE
STILL EXPECTED. 20-FOOT WINDS ACROSS GRAHAM...GREENLEE AND COCHISE
COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 8-18 MPH.
OTHERWISE...20-FOOT WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 MPH THROUGH THURSDAY.
LOCALLY GUSTY EAST WINDS MAY OCCUR FRIDAY.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.


&&

$$

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