Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KTWC 060946
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
245 AM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. OTHERWISE GENERALLY DRY
CONDITIONS WITH WELL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR
INTO NEXT WEEK. A DISTURBANCE MAY BRING A FEW MOUNTAINS SHOWERS EAST
OF TUCSON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LARGE SCALE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION
WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DIRTYING THINGS UP AT THE BASE OF
THE RIDGE NEAR NORTHERN BAJA. SOUTHEAST ARIZONA IS QUITE DRY WITH
SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE TEENS AND 20S AND PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES AROUND 1/10 OF AN INCH. FOR TODAY THE MAIN ISSUE IS THE
RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL FEATURES KEEPING GUSTY SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE
EAST FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. VALUES SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS, BUT WIND PRONE SPOTS WILL BE RATHER GUSTY AT TIMES.

THE WEAK LOW NEAR NORTHERN BAJA WILL PUSH SLOWLY UNDER THE RIDGE AND
INTO ARIZONA OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. IT WON`T BRING MUCH MOISTURE
WITH IT, AND THERE`S CERTAINLY NONE IN PLACE. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS IN
THE EAST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS ARE NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION
SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT, BUT NOTHING OF ANY IMPORTANCE.

RATHER MILD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE IN THIS WEAK PATTERN WELL INTO
NEXT WEEK WITH DAYTIME HIGHS WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 07/12Z.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. GUSTY EASTERLY
SURFACE WINDS AT TIMES. THE STRONGEST WIND IS EXPECTED IN THE
VICINITY OF KTUS. SPEEDS WILL EASE UP A LITTLE AFTER SUNSET.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...STRONG AND GUSTY EAST WINDS AT TIMES TODAY.
OTHERWISE EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO NEXT
WEEK. THE EXCEPTION WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHEN
A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF TUCSON.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

MEYER/RASMUSSEN





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