Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 071016

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
315 AM MST Wed Dec 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A few rain and snow showers may occur across the White
Mountains today. Otherwise, dry conditions will prevail into early
next week. Expect some minor cooling today, then above normal
daytime temperatures will return by Friday and continue into next


.DISCUSSION...Considerable mostly cirrus level cloud cover over the
area this morning. Clouds will thin out a bit later this morning
before the next batch of thick mid to high level cloud cover,
currently approaching southern California, moves across the area
this afternoon. Since the low levels are still fairly dry, likely
will see a lots of virga around but can`t rule out a few sprinkles.
Cooler today thanks to the cloud cover with highs right around

High clouds will continue to move across the area through the
upcoming weekend under westerly flow aloft. High temperatures will
warm back to around 4-8 degrees above normal starting Friday into
next week.


.AVIATION...Valid through 08/12Z.
There will be a very slight chance of -SHRA/-SHSN in the mountains
along the New Mexico border thru 08/02Z. Otherwise, expect SCT
clouds at 12-15k ft AGL and BKN-OVC clouds above 20k ft AGL thru the
period. Surface wind will be less than 12 kts thru 08/12Z. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...There will be a slight chance of rain/snow showers
in the mountains along the New Mexico border through this afternoon.
Otherwise, dry conditions are expected into the middle of next week.
20-ft winds will generally be less than 15 mph over the next 7 days,
except for some elevated east/southeast 20-foot winds on Thursday
over portions of Cochise and Graham counties...especially in the
upper Gila river valley.





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