Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 290933
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
233 AM MST MON SEP 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
PREVAIL THIS WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SOME LINGERING LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING. OTHERWISE...A DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES THIS WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND NORMAL MOST OF THE
WEEK. MODELS SHOWED A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDING OVER THE
REGION AROUND FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 30/12Z.
FEW-SCT CLOUDS AT 4-8K FT AGL EAST OF A KOLS...TO KTUS...TO KCGZ
LINE THRU 30/03Z. OTHERWISE...SKC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THERE
WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF -SHRA/-TSRA THRU 30/03Z...NORTHEAST OF
KSAD...MAINLY IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. WLY/WLY SURFACE WIND AT 8-18
KTS WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 25 KTS BETWEEN 29/17Z AND 30/02Z...WITH THE
STRONGEST WIND EAST OF KTUS IN THE VICINITY OF KFHU...KDUG AND KSAD.
OTHERWISE...SURFACE WIND GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KTS. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
WHITE MOUNTAINS TODAY...OTHERWISE EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. DAYTIME MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER
THIS WEEK AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION...ALTHOUGH GOOD
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES ARE STILL EXPECTED. 20-FOOT WINDS WILL BE
WEST/NORTHWEST AT 8-18 MPH TODAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EAST OF
TUCSON. 20-FOOT WINDS WILL THEN GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 15 MPH
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ELEVATED
EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.


&&

$$


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