Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 110321
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
820 PM MST WED FEB 10 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL
PROVIDE DRY CONDITIONS WITH WELL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT NEAR RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES FOR SOME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE OUR WEATHER
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. EXPECT DAYTIME HIGHS TO CONTINUE AROUND 12 TO
15 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. THE RIDGE WILL DIRTY UP WITH
CIRRUS LEVEL MOISTURE FROM TIME TO TIME...OTHERWISE QUITE DRY.

CHAOTIC UPSTREAM THROUGH THE PACIFIC AS WE SEE THE FIRST SIGNS OF A
PATTERN CHANGE THAT SHOULD OPEN THE DOOR A BIT AFTER THE 18TH.
UNTIL THEN...NO BUENO.


&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 12/06Z.
HIGH PRESSURE WITH PATCHY CIRRUS AT TIMES. EAST TO SOUTHEAST SURFACE
WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 KTS IN THE LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS WITH WELL ABOVE AVERAGE AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL AS WELL WITH MIN RHS IN THE
7 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE IN THE VALLEYS WITH LESS THAN IDEAL NIGHTTIME
RECOVERIES.  LOCALIZED BREEZY EAST WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
THURSDAY MORNING...WITH THE PEAK WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE VALLEYS
OCCURRING FROM THE MID MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

MEYER/HUMPHREYS

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON


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